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Matt Ryan

Matt Ryan Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts

Matt Ryan Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 215.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a massive 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 140.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the least yards in the league (just 199.0 per game) vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, allowing 6.96 yards-per-target: the 5th-least in the league.

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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