Matt Ryan Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Matt Ryan

NFL · Player Props

Matt Ryan

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Passing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Matt Ryan Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 229.5 (+108/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 229.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 229.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 10th-least yards in the NFL (just 214.0 per game) vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest level in the league vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (63.6%).
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, surrendering 6.32 yards-per-target: the 2nd-least in football.
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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