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Matt Ryan

Matt Ryan Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Matt Ryan Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Indianapolis Colts have gone for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Matt Ryan to attempt 36.6 passes in this week's game, on average: the least of all QBs.

The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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