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Matt Ryan

Matt Ryan Interceptions
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Matt Ryan Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-195/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -195.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.
  • Matt Ryan has attempted 40.0 throws per game this year, grading out in the 76th percentile among QBs.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Matt Ryan has averaged 1.23 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 12th percentile among QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos cornerbacks grade out as the 6th-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
  • The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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