Matt Breida Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Matt Breida

NFL · Player Props

Matt Breida

RB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Houston Texans · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 5:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Matt Breida Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 3rd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 50.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.20 seconds per play.
Opposing teams have rushed for the most yards in the league (178 per game) against the Houston Texans defense this year.
The Houston Texans linebackers rank as the worst group of LBs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

Matt Breida has played on 19.8% of his team's snaps this year, ranking in the 24th percentile among RBs.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
Matt Breida has rushed for significantly fewer yards per game (8.0) this year than he did last year (18.0).
Matt Breida's running efficiency has diminished this year, totaling a mere 2.93 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.90 figure last year.
The New York Giants have utilized motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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