Matt Breida Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Matt Breida

NFL · Player Props

Matt Breida

RB · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Matt Breida Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is implied by the Giants being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Matt Breida's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 84.6% to 87.9%.
Matt Breida's ability to grind out extra yardage has been refined this season, totaling 6.93 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 3.80 mark last season.
The Packers linebackers profile as the worst collection of LBs in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

Favors Under

The projections expect the New York Giants to be the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.8 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.6 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: fewest in football.
When talking about pocket protection (and the significance it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the New York Giants grades out as the worst in the league this year.
The Green Bay Packers defense has allowed the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 27.0) to running backs this year.

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