Matt Breida Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Matt Breida

NFL · Player Props

Matt Breida

RB · New York Giants

Carries

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 2, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Matt Breida Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects Matt Breida to be a more integral piece of his team's run game this week (37.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (11.9% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The projections expect this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
The Giants O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

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