My Account Log Out

reorder

Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL has been the Broncos.

The model projects the Denver Broncos to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.

The Denver offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marvin Mims has been used less as a potential target this year (26.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (42.6%).

The Los Angeles Chargers safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

More Marvin Mims Jr. Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™