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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 66.9 total plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (72.1%) to wide receivers this year (72.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Broncos to be the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.

Marvin Mims's 26.1% Route% this season conveys an impressive drop-off in his pass attack workload over last season's 42.6% mark.

Marvin Mims profiles as one of the bottom WRs in the game this year, averaging just 1.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 21st percentile among wideouts.

More Marvin Mims Jr. Player Props

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