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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have 138.3 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.

The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Browns cornerbacks profile as the worst CB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Broncos to pass on 54.4% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.

Marvin Mims's 25.0% Route Participation Rate this season shows a remarkable diminishment in his pass attack utilization over last season's 42.6% rate.

With a puny 1.5 adjusted catches per game (20th percentile) this year, Marvin Mims stands as one of the bottom wide receivers in the NFL in football.

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