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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.9 per game) this year.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

This year, the deficient Falcons pass defense has given up a staggering 71.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to pass on 54.2% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Marvin Mims has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (24.9% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (42.6%).

Marvin Mims is positioned as one of the weakest WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 1.2 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 14th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Marvin Mims's 57.5% Adjusted Catch% this year marks an impressive decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 67.0% rate.

The Falcons linebackers profile as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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