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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Broncos, who are giant -7-point underdogs.

Marvin Mims checks in as one of the best possession receivers in football, catching an outstanding 76.3% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Broncos to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.9 per game) this year.

This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has given up a measly 59.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-lowest rate in football.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Kansas City's collection of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 9th-best in football.

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