Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Marvin Mims Jr.

NFL · Player Props

Marvin Mims Jr.

WR · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Marvin Mims profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football, catching a fantastic 83.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 122.4 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
The Denver Broncos have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 50.7 plays per game.
The Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.0 per game) this year.
Marvin Mims has run a route on 27.2% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 25th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

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