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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+122/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.

At the present time, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (58.3% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Denver Broncos.

The model projects the Broncos to run the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.2 plays per game.

With a puny 1.5 adjusted catches per game (25th percentile) this year, Marvin Mims has been as one of the weakest WRs in the league in the NFL.

More Marvin Mims Jr. Player Props

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