Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

My Account Log Out

reorder

Marvin Mims Jr.

NFL · Player Props

Marvin Mims Jr.

WR · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the deficient Vikings pass defense has given up a colossal 69.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-biggest rate in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Denver Broncos offensive strategy to skew 2.0% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).
Marvin Mims has been one of the weakest wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging just 1.4 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 21st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

More Marvin Mims Jr. Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow