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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per play.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.
  • The Denver Broncos offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • With a fantastic 6.91 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (88th percentile) last year, Marvin Mims rates as one of the leading WRs in the league in the NFL in space.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Tampa Bay's LB corps has been excellent since the start of last season, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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