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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

At a mere 27.51 seconds per play, the Denver Broncos offense checks in as the 8th-quickest paced in football (context-neutralized) since the start of last season.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

Marvin Mims grades out as one of the leading wideouts in football at generating extra yardage, averaging an outstanding 6.64 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 89th percentile.

The Steelers pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against wide receivers since the start of last season, conceding 8.77 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 55.5% of their downs: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 9th-fewest in the league.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.6%) to wideouts since the start of last season (61.6%).

The Steelers safeties project as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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