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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 66.9 total plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year.

Marvin Mims's 13.26 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a noteworthy growth in his effectiveness in space over last season's 6.6% figure.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (72.1%) to wide receivers this year (72.1%).

This year, the poor Indianapolis Colts defense has been torched for the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a massive 9.07 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Broncos to be the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.

Marvin Mims's 26.1% Route% this season conveys an impressive drop-off in his pass attack workload over last season's 42.6% mark.

After accruing 32.0 air yards per game last year, Marvin Mims has been a disappointment this year, now sitting at 22.0 per game.

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