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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have 138.3 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.
  • The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Marvin Mims's 10.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents an impressive boost in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 6.6% rate.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has displayed weak efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, surrendering 9.32 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Broncos to pass on 54.4% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • Marvin Mims's 25.0% Route Participation Rate this season shows a remarkable diminishment in his pass attack utilization over last season's 42.6% rate.
  • Marvin Mims has accrued far fewer air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (32.0 per game).

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