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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At only 27.94 seconds per snap, the Denver Broncos offense checks in as the 8th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • The Broncos O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Marvin Mims's ability to generate extra yardage has gotten better this season, compiling 8.92 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 6.64 figure last season.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Broncos to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Las Vegas Raiders, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.8 per game) this year.
  • Marvin Mims's 25.1% Route Participation% this year reflects a substantial regression in his air attack volume over last year's 42.6% rate.
  • Marvin Mims has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (21.0 per game) than he did last season (32.0 per game).

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