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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.9 per game) this year.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

Marvin Mims checks in as one of the top wideouts in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an impressive 6.55 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 84th percentile.

This year, the deficient Falcons pass defense has given up a staggering 71.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to pass on 54.2% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Marvin Mims has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (24.9% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (42.6%).

After totaling 32.0 air yards per game last season, Marvin Mims has seen a big decrease this season, currently boasting 22.0 per game.

Marvin Mims's 8.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks a substantial decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 19.0 figure.

Marvin Mims's 57.5% Adjusted Catch% this year marks an impressive decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 67.0% rate.

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