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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+108/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -107 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -141.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

While Marvin Mims has received 7.4% of his team's targets in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Denver's offense in this week's game at 12.5%.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos ranks as the 2nd-best in football last year.

Marvin Mims comes in as one of the best WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging an outstanding 6.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 83rd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to pass on 54.3% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 125.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos last year (just 54.8 per game on average).

The Seahawks pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.15 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Seattle's unit has been very good last year, projecting as the 6th-best in football.

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