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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Broncos, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
  • Marvin Mims checks in as one of the best possession receivers in football, catching an outstanding 76.3% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
  • Marvin Mims grades out as one of the most effective receivers in the NFL, averaging an impressive 13.31 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Marvin Mims rates as one of the leading wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging an impressive 7.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 91st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Broncos to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.9 per game) this year.
  • This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has given up a measly 59.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-lowest rate in football.
  • The Chiefs pass defense has shown strong efficiency against wideouts this year, yielding 7.18 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.

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