Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Marvin Mims Jr.

NFL · Player Props

Marvin Mims Jr.

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Broncos, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
Marvin Mims checks in as one of the best possession receivers in football, catching an outstanding 76.3% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
Marvin Mims grades out as one of the most effective receivers in the NFL, averaging an impressive 13.31 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Marvin Mims rates as one of the leading wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging an impressive 7.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 91st percentile.

Favors Under

The model projects the Broncos to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.9 per game) this year.
This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has given up a measly 59.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-lowest rate in football.
The Chiefs pass defense has shown strong efficiency against wideouts this year, yielding 7.18 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.

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