Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Marvin Mims Jr.

NFL · Player Props

Marvin Mims Jr.

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Marvin Mims profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football, catching a fantastic 83.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
With a terrific 14.4 adjusted yards per target (100th percentile) this year, Marvin Mims has been as one of the top wide receivers in the league in the league.
With an excellent 7.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (88th percentile) this year, Marvin Mims ranks among the leading wide receivers in the game in the league in picking up extra yardage.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 122.4 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
The Denver Broncos have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 50.7 plays per game.
The Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.0 per game) this year.
Marvin Mims has run a route on 27.2% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 25th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

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