Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Marvin Mims Jr.

NFL · Player Props

Marvin Mims Jr.

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 13, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Broncos being a a giant -10.5-point underdog this week.
With a remarkable 83.5% Adjusted Catch% (90th percentile) this year, Marvin Mims ranks among the best possession receivers in the NFL among wide receivers.
With a remarkable 14.4 adjusted yards per target (98th percentile) this year, Marvin Mims ranks among the top wide receivers in the game in the NFL.
With a remarkable 7.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (90th percentile) this year, Marvin Mims rates as one of the top wide receivers in the league in the league in the open field.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Broncos have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
This year, the daunting Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded a feeble 59.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 7th-lowest rate in football.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, conceding 6.65 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the league.
The Chiefs cornerbacks project as the 7th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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