Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Marvin Mims Jr.

NFL · Player Props

Marvin Mims Jr.

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Marvin Mims has received a colossal 26.3% of his offense's air yards this year: 75th percentile among WRs.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown weak efficiency vs. wide receivers since the start of last season, surrendering 9.93 yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.
The Bears pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.29 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in football.
The Chicago Bears linebackers project as the 2nd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

Favors Under

The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The projections expect the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Broncos to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 59.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.

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