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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Denver Broncos ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

Marvin Mims checks in as one of the best wide receivers in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an impressive 6.67 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 85th percentile.

The Lions pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against wideouts this year, surrendering 8.73 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 58.6% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-least pass-focused team in the league has been the Denver Broncos.

Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.

This year, the tough Detroit Lions pass defense has conceded the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a paltry 2.7 YAC.

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