Marvin Jones Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Marvin Jones

NFL · Player Props

Marvin Jones

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 3:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Marvin Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
Marvin Jones has accrued far more air yards this year (89.0 per game) than he did last year (84.0 per game).
Marvin Jones's 48.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 78th percentile for wideouts.

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Marvin Jones's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 63.4% to 57.3%.
Marvin Jones has been among the least effective receivers in the NFL, averaging just 7.02 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 21st percentile among wideouts
Marvin Jones has been among the worst WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.77 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 18th percentile.
The Denver Broncos defense has conceded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 118.0) to WRs this year.

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