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Marvin Jones

Marvin Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants

Marvin Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.29 seconds per snap.

Marvin Jones has run a route on 88.2% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among WRs.

Marvin Jones has put up far more air yards this season (89.0 per game) than he did last season (84.0 per game).

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in football.

Marvin Jones's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 63.4% to 58.9%.

Marvin Jones has been among the least efficient receivers in the NFL, averaging a measly 6.98 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 22nd percentile among wideouts

The New York Giants defense has given up the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 132.0) to WRs this year.

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