My Account Log Out
 
 
Marvin Jones

Marvin Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Marvin Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.4 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans defense has surrendered the most receiving yards per game in football (197.0) to WRs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Marvin Jones has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (78.0 per game) than he did last year (84.0 per game).
  • Marvin Jones's 43.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 53.5.
  • Marvin Jones has compiled a lot fewer receiving yards per game (35.0) this year than he did last year (51.0).
  • Marvin Jones's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 63.5% to 55.4%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™