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Marvin Jones

Marvin Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Marvin Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Marvin Jones has compiled far fewer air yards this year (78.0 per game) than he did last year (84.0 per game).
  • Marvin Jones's 43.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 53.5.
  • Marvin Jones has notched substantially fewer receiving yards per game (37.0) this year than he did last year (51.0).
  • Marvin Jones's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 63.5% to 58.1%.
  • Marvin Jones has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging a mere 7.02 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 10th percentile among WRs

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