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Marvin Jones

Marvin Jones Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Dallas Cowboys

Marvin Jones Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+377/-770).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -769 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -770.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

The Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded the 5th-most passing touchdowns in the league to wide receivers: 1.08 per game this year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.56 seconds before getting pressured (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Marvin Jones has compiled far fewer air yards this year (72.0 per game) than he did last year (84.0 per game).

Marvin Jones's 39.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 53.5.

Marvin Jones's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 63.5% to 56.3%.

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 5th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

More Marvin Jones Player Props

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