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Marvin Jones

Marvin Jones Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Marvin Jones Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+347/-673).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -624 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -673.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.4 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.

The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Completion% in the NFL (69%) versus wideouts this year (69.0%).

The Tennessee Titans defense has yielded the most TDs through the air in the league to wide receivers: 1.42 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Marvin Jones has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (78.0 per game) than he did last year (84.0 per game).

Marvin Jones's 43.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 53.5.

Marvin Jones's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 63.5% to 55.4%.

The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 3rd-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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