Marquise Goodwin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Marquise Goodwin

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Marquise Goodwin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+104/-128).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has conceded the 8th-most receiving yards per game in the league (160.0) to WRs since the start of last season.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (70.5%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (70.5%).
The Atlanta Falcons safeties profile as the 5th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.7 plays per game.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Marquise Goodwin has been among the worst wide receivers in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 2.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 22nd percentile.
The Atlanta Falcons defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.