Marquise Goodwin Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Marquise Goodwin

NFL · Player Props

Marquise Goodwin

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving TD

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 23, 2022 6:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Marquise Goodwin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+438/-1005).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1002 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1005.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (70.5%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (70.5%).
The Atlanta Falcons defense has given up the 3rd-most passing TDs in the NFL to WRs: 1.26 per game since the start of last season.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties profile as the 5th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 59.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.7 plays per game.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Atlanta Falcons defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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