Marquise Goodwin Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Marquise Goodwin

NFL · Player Props

Marquise Goodwin

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving TD

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:31 PM EST

Analysis

Marquise Goodwin Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+358/-708).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -694 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -708.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Marquise Goodwin's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 52.3% to 77.1%.
Marquise Goodwin grades out in the 82nd percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a terrific 0.33 per game.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the highest Completion% in the NFL (71.5%) vs. wideouts this year (71.5%).
The Carolina Panthers cornerbacks rank as the 5th-worst unit in football this year in pass coverage.
The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
Marquise Goodwin has accrued far fewer air yards this year (30.0 per game) than he did last year (35.0 per game).
The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 5th-least passing touchdowns in football to WRs: 0.67 per game this year.

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