My Account Log Out

reorder

Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Marquise Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +118 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

While Marquise Brown has received 25.0% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller part of Kansas City's passing offense in this game at 12.5%.

With a poor 55.4% Adjusted Catch Rate (7th percentile) last year, Marquise Brown places among the least sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to WRs.

More Marquise Brown Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™