Marquise Brown Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Marquise Brown

NFL · Player Props

Marquise Brown

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 7:41 PM EST

Analysis

Marquise Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals may lean on the pass less in this game (and call more carries) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
A passing game script is suggested by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
The projections expect Marquise Brown to notch 8.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile among WRs.
Marquise Brown's 29.1% Target% this season conveys a a meaningful growth in his passing offense usage over last season's 23.6% mark.
With an impressive 5.1 adjusted catches per game (86th percentile) this year, Marquise Brown stands as one of the best pass-catching WRs in football.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals have a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 5.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-centric team in football (55.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cardinals are projected by the projections to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

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