Marquise Brown Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Marquise Brown

NFL · Player Props

Marquise Brown

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Marquise Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Marquise Brown to garner 9.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
Marquise Brown's play as a receiver has improved this season, averaging 7.4 yards per game vs a measly 5.7 last season.
Marquise Brown's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 65.8% to 71.0%.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
Marquise Brown has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, playing on 94.7% of snaps compared to just 79.8% last season.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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