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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Chiefs as the most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see just 132.5 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.6 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects Marquise Brown to accumulate 6.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marquise Brown's 46.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 64.2.

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