Marquise Brown Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Marquise Brown

NFL · Player Props

Marquise Brown

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
The Cardinals are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 10th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.06 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Cardinals have a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
In regards to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Cardinals ranks as the 5th-worst in the league this year.
Marquise Brown's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 62.8% to 54.8%.
With a bad 6.7 adjusted yards per target (23rd percentile) this year, Marquise Brown rates as one of the worst wide receivers in the league in football.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 142.0) versus WRs this year.

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