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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Arizona Cardinals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Marquise Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
  • The Cardinals are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 10th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.06 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals have a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Cardinals ranks as the 5th-worst in the league this year.
  • Marquise Brown's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 62.8% to 54.8%.
  • With a bad 6.7 adjusted yards per target (23rd percentile) this year, Marquise Brown rates as one of the worst wide receivers in the league in football.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded the 10th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 142.0) versus WRs this year.

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