Marquise Brown Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Marquise Brown

NFL · Player Props

Marquise Brown

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals will be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cardinals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
With an extraordinary 95.5% Route% (97th percentile) this year, Marquise Brown has been as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the NFL.
In this game, Marquise Brown is projected by the projection model to slot into the 85th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.7 targets.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 56.1% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Cincinnati Bengals, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.0 per game) this year.
Marquise Brown has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (93.0 per game) than he did last year (100.0 per game).

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