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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Marquise Brown Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+132/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per play.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Marquise Brown has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 17.2% this year, which places him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
  • Marquise Brown has totaled a whopping 108.0 air yards per game this year: 97th percentile among wideouts.
  • Marquise Brown's 68.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 93rd percentile for wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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