Marquise Brown Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Marquise Brown

NFL · Player Props

Marquise Brown

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving TD

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Marquise Brown Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+132/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Marquise Brown has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 17.2% this year, which places him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
Marquise Brown has totaled a whopping 108.0 air yards per game this year: 97th percentile among wideouts.
Marquise Brown's 68.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 93rd percentile for wideouts.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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