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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-156).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -208 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -156.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a huge 14-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Saints to run the most total plays on the slate this week with 69.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in football.

In this week's contest, Marquez Valdes-Scantling is projected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 75th percentile among wide receivers with 6.6 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the least pass-oriented team in football (55.3% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Saints.

The Saints O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

With a puny 1.4 adjusted catches per game (19th percentile) this year, Marquez Valdes-Scantling stands among the bottom WRs in the league in the league.

With a subpar 49.9% Adjusted Completion% (17th percentile) this year, Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among wide receivers.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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