My Account Log Out

reorder

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 136.9 plays on offense run: the highest number among all games this week.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

Our trusted projections expect Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack this week (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.3% in games he has played).

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Cleveland's group of CBs has been lousy this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (56.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New Orleans Saints.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling checks in as one of the weakest WRs in the league this year, averaging a measly 0.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 7th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling comes in as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league, hauling in just 51.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 20th percentile among wideouts

More Marquez Valdes-Scantling Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™