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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-137).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 68.4% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • This year, the feeble Dolphins pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 71.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 7th-highest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been a much smaller part of his offense's air attack this season (7.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (12.8%).
  • The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the best safety corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

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