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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 59.1% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates a substantial improvement in his receiving prowess over last year's 54.3% mark.

The Broncos pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (76.1%) to wideouts this year (76.1%).

The Broncos linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in football this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game.

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Broncos, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.1 per game) this year.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 6.6% Target Rate this year reflects a material reduction in his air attack workload over last year's 12.8% mark.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's receiving talent has diminished this season, accumulating just 1.4 adjusted catches vs 2.4 last season.

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