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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Chiefs as the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to run the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been a less important option in his team's passing offense this year (6.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (12.8%).

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 55.6% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 4th percentile among wideouts

The Jets pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.9%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (62.9%).

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