Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

My Account Log Out

reorder

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

NFL · Player Props

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 2, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Chiefs as the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The predictive model expects the Chiefs to run the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been a less important option in his team's passing offense this year (6.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (12.8%).
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 55.6% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 4th percentile among wideouts
The Jets pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.9%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (62.9%).

More Marquez Valdes-Scantling Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow