Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

NFL · Player Props

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 6th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in a mere 55.1% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 5th percentile among WRs
The Jacksonville Jaguars cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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