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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's group of safeties has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Chiefs are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been a much smaller piece of his offense's pass attack this season (7.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (12.8%).

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's receiving skills have worsened this year, accumulating just 1.3 adjusted receptions compared to 2.4 last year.

With a bad 53.2% Adjusted Catch Rate (17th percentile) this year, Marquez Valdes-Scantling rates as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to wide receivers.

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